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The 11 moments that defined the European Parliament's term

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The 11 moments that defined the European Parliament's term

Posted | Updated by Insights team:

Publication | Update:

Jul 2024
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Lawmakers will now head back to their native countries to prepare for the elections in June when voters will choose the 720 members of the next legislature. 

For many in the Parliament, the respite will doubtless be welcomed after five years of navigating a formidable succession of global emergencies, haggling over transformative pieces of legislation and scrambling to manage PR disasters.

"I would never have been able to predict both how much we managed to achieve, but also how many crises and challenges we've had to overcome and to handle," the Parliament's president, Roberta Metsola, told Euronews.

As the curtain draws, we look at the 11 moments that defined the 9th Legislature.

Von der Leyen's razor-thin confirmation

Photographers captured Ursula von der Leyen's relief as the results of the vote were read.
Photographers captured Ursula von der Leyen's relief as the results of the vote were read.European Union, 2019.

It is fair to say that Ursula von der Leyen came out of the blue.

The Brussels-born politician was, ironically, a mostly unknown figure in Brussels until the summer of 2019, as she had been serving in the federal government of Chancellor Angela Markel holding several portfolios – defence being the last.

Her ascendence happened in the blink of an eye after the European Council, under the strong influence of Emmanuel Macron, dismissed the candidacy of Manfred Weber, the presumed nominee, to head the European Commission.

With Weber out of the picture, the centre-right European People's Party (EPP) rushed to find a new contender from its ranks. It was then that Macron reportedly plucked von der Leyen's name out of the air, hailing her as a pragmatic conservative who could also satisfy the liberal, socialist and green factions. Back then, even Viktor Orbán agreed.

But the Parliament reacted furiously to the blatant dismantling of the Spitzenkandidaten system, which the French president had vocally opposed. Von der Leyen was confirmed with 383 votes in favour – just nine votes above the required 374, a record-breaking margin.

'Auld Lang Syne'

MEPs held hands and sang 'Auld Lang Syne' after holding the last vote on Brexit.
MEPs held hands and sang 'Auld Lang Syne' after holding the last vote on Brexit.Yves Herman/Copyright 2020 The AP. All rights reserved

Brexit was a tough pill to swallow for Brussels. The United Kingdom's withdrawal was a drawn-out, tortuous exercise that tested the limits of diplomatic goodwill.

It came to an end on 29 January 2020, when MEPs gave their consent to the agreement that saw the UK officially quit the EU after 47 years of membership, making it the first member state to leave the union.

Right after the results of the vote (621 in favour and 49 against) were announced, lawmakers stood up, held hands and belted out a rendition of "Auld Lang Syne," a popular Scottish song that evokes the end of a long-time friendship.

The poignant moment was followed by applause, hugs and tears. A few days later, the Parliament redistributed seats to account for the departure of the 73 British MEPs.

The MEP who escaped through the drainpipe

Hungarian MEP József Szájer was caught in a sex scandal that made headlines around the world.
Hungarian MEP József Szájer was caught in a sex scandal that made headlines around the world.European Union, 2020.

This is the story of József Szájer, a five-term MEP from Hungary's Fidesz, the ruling party of Viktor Orbán that in 2021 was resoundingly censured for spearheading anti-LGBTQ legislation under the guise of "protecting" children's safety.

Szájer, though, appeared immune to the party's manifesto as he partook in a sex party that is said to have convened 25 men in the centre of Brussels. The intimate soirée of November 2021, organised in open breach of COVID-19 lockdown restrictions, was interrupted by Belgian police after neighbours complained about the noise.

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According to a report from the Public Prosecutor's office, the Hungarian politician attempted to escape the police by climbing down the gutter of the private apartment and was found with bloody hands and narcotics in his backpack, which he denied using.

"I am sorry that I have violated the rules of assembly. It was irresponsible on my part. I will accept the penalties for that," Szájer said in a statement days after his resignation.

The details of the adventure unleashed a media frenzy, as Brussels was then numbed by the inactivity of COVID-19 and yearned for anything resembling a thrill. The contrast between Szájer's work and Szájer's after-work was not lost on readers.

Pharma CEOs face the music

AstraZeneca CEO Pascal Soriot faced the fury of MEPs over repeated delays in the delivery of COVID-19 vaccines.
AstraZeneca CEO Pascal Soriot faced the fury of MEPs over repeated delays in the delivery of COVID-19 vaccines.European Union, 2021.

Confronted with a once-in-a-century pandemic, the EU moved to jointly buy life-saving vaccines, putting big money on the table of pharmaceutical multinationals. While initial deliveries were understandably slow due to huge global demand, one specific company ruffled feathers with its constant, eyebrow-raising delays: AstraZeneca.

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The firm had committed to providing 90 million doses in the first quarter of 2021 but soon downgraded the target to just 30 million.

The Parliament, which had taken a step back due to lockdown restrictions, jumped into the fray by holding a virtual hearing to grill the CEOs of pharma companies, who were flooded with questions about production, authorisations and timetables. Inevitably, all the fingers were pointed at AstraZeneca's Pascal Soriot, considered the main culprit.

"How is it possible that you have no clue?" said Finnish MEP Silvia Modig, who called Soriot a "piece of soap" over his confusing statements about deliveries.

The Commission later sued AstraZeneca. The litigation ended in a settlement.

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Farewell to David Sassoli

David Sassoli, the president of the European Parliament, died at age 65.
David Sassoli, the president of the European Parliament, died at age 65.Jean-Francois Badias/Copyright 2022 The AP. All rights reserved

In the early hours of 11 January 2022, it was announced that David Sassoli, the president of the European Parliament, had died.

The 65-year-old Italian socialist had suffered a prolonged period of poor health and had been previously admitted to hospital during his mandate. Still, the announcement shook the city as he was a beloved figure across the political spectrum, admired for his easy smile and warm character.

The Parliament hosted a commemorative event with mask-clad lawmakers and leaders, which opened with an eulogy delivered all in Italian by his successor, Roberta Metsola.

"Europe has lost a leader, democracy has lost a champion and all of us have lost a friend," Metsola said. "A man of great vision and deep convictions, he always knew how to translate the values he believed in into concrete actions."

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Sassoli was laid to rest in Rome after a state funeral at Santa Maria degli Angeli Basilica.

'Prove that you are with us'

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy delivered a rousing speech to the European Parliament in the early days of the Russian invasion.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy delivered a rousing speech to the European Parliament in the early days of the Russian invasion.AP/Ukrainian Presidential Press Office

As Russian missiles fell over Kyiv and the fate of Ukraine hanged by the thinnest of threads, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy engineered an audacious geopolitical realignment by applying for EU membership.

Seeking to dispel any doubts about his true ambitions, Zelenskyy virtually joined an extraordinary session of the European Parliament on March 1 2022, and made the case for his war-torn nation, promising that "no one is going to break us."

"We are fighting for our rights, for our freedoms and now we're fighting for survival. We are also fighting to be equal members of Europe," Zelenskyy told MEPs.

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"Do prove that you are with us. Do prove that you will not let us go. Do prove that you are indeed Europeans. And then, life will win over death and light will win over darkness. Glory be to Ukraine!"

The speech immediately became one of the most impassioned, memorable pleas ever delivered in the hemicycle. Even the translator's voice broke, overpowered by emotion.

'Qatargate', a scandal like no other

Eva Kaili was at the centre of the corruption case known as Qatargate.
Eva Kaili was at the centre of the corruption case known as Qatargate.European Union, 2022.

The European Parliament knows one thing or two about sordid political scandals but it was certainly not ready for the storm that struck in December 2022.

Belgian police revealed the existence of a cash-for-favours scheme involving "large" sums of money and "substantial" gifts allegedly paid by Qatar and Morocco to influence the institution's decision-making. (Both countries deny any wrongdoing.)

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The case led to the arrest of Vice President Eva Kaili, a rising star in the Parliament, together with her partner, Francesco Giorgi, a long-time accredited assistant. Kaili was reportedly "caught in the act" trying to get rid of bags filled with cash, prompting the automatic lifting of her immunity. She spent over four months in prison.

Corruption charges were also levelled at Marc Tarabella and Andrea Cozzolino, two sitting lawmakers, and Pier Antonio Panzeri, a former MEP who would later strike a bombshell deal with prosecutors to admit his role in briberies and share "revealing" details.

Kaili, Tarabella and Cozzolino pushed back against Panzeri's claims and challenged the criminal charges, calling them unfounded and insisting on their innocence.

Still, the whirlwind of accusations, police raids, leaked confessions and finger-pointing between legal teams proved highly damaging for the Parliament, which scrambled to put out a new code of conduct in a desperate bid to contain one of its worst-ever PR crises.

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Unfortunately, the spectre of foreign influence would come back to haunt the institution in the form of Russiagate and Chinagate.

A fierce battle for nature

The Nature Restoration Law seeks to rehabilitate Europe's degraded ecosystems.
The Nature Restoration Law seeks to rehabilitate Europe's degraded ecosystems.Rafal Kowalczyk/Copyright 2023 The AP. All rights reserved.

The 2019-2024 term gave rise to far-reaching, ambitious pieces of legislation, some of which were intensely negotiated and debated until reaching the finish line. But none come close to the Nature Restoration Law, a proposal to gradually rehabilitate the EU's land and sea areas degraded by climate change and human activity.

The text was rather low-profile compared to other pieces of the Green Deal that had attracted greater attention. However, in spring 2023, the European People's Party (EPP) began a full-throttle campaign to bring down the law, arguing it would imperil food production, increase retail prices and devastate the traditional livelihoods of farmers.

The talking points were frontally disputed by progressive MEPs, environmental organisations, legal scholars and even multinationals, who said restoring nature was indispensable to maintain a prosperous economy and sustainable supply chains.

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The EPP pressed on with a controversial social media push, going as far as claiming the legislation would turn the city of Rovaniemi, where Santa Claus lives, into a forest. 

Although the Parliament eventually approved a watered-down version of the law with 329 votes in favour and 275 against, the battle paved the way for a wider contestation of the Green Deal in the run-up to the 2024 elections.

The December marathon

December 2023 saw landmark deals on the AI Act and the New Pact on Migration and Asylum.
December 2023 saw landmark deals on the AI Act and the New Pact on Migration and Asylum.European Union, 2023.

With the elections nearing closer, the Parliament put the pedal to the metal to close as many legislative files as possible. The concentrated effort saw its peak in December 2023, when lawmakers managed to strike a provisional deal with member states on two of the mandate's most significant laws: the Artificial Intelligence Act, a world-first attempt to rein in the revolutionary technology, and the New Pact on Migration and Asylum, a comprehensive reform of the bloc's migration policy.

It was not easy, though. The AI Act was concluded after record-breaking talks that stretched over 35 hours across three consecutive days, as lawmakers stood their ground to expand the list of prohibitive practices that could infringe on fundamental rights. The negotiations on the New Pact were split into several sessions to allow the Parliament and the Council to thrash out five separate yet interlinked laws.

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In classic Brussels fashion, both deals were celebrated as "historic." 

'Stop being boring'

Yulia Navalnaya addressed MEPs shortly after the death of her husband.
Yulia Navalnaya addressed MEPs shortly after the death of her husband.European Union, 2024.

Leave it to a grieving widow to deliver a good old reality check.

Clad in a striking black outfit, Yulia Navalnaya appeared before the European Parliament in late February 2024, days after her husband, Alexei Navalny, died in suspicious circumstances while imprisoned in Russia. Navalnaya paid tribute to the late opposition leader's courage by boldly telling MEPs to put their money where their mouth is.

"If you really want to defeat Putin, you have to become an innovator. You have to stop being boring," Navalnaya told MEPs, as she contained her emotions.

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"You cannot hurt Putin with another resolution or another set of sanctions that is no different to the last one," she went on.

"You cannot defeat him by thinking he is a man of principle who has morals and rules. He is not like that. And Alexei realised that a long time ago. You are not dealing with a politician but with a bloody monster."

Her intervention concluded with a thunderous standing ovation.

See EU in court

The European Parliament has filed a lawsuit against the European Commission for releasing frozen funds to Hungary.
The European Parliament has filed a lawsuit against the European Commission for releasing frozen funds to Hungary.European Union, 2024.

This list could not be completed without a dash of inter-institutional drama.

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For the past decade, the European Parliament has led the charge against Viktor Orbán and the democratic backsliding inside Hungary. The topic was a leitmotiv of this last term, as MEPs from across the aisle voted resolution after resolution with increasingly harsh language. (At one point, they declared Hungary was "no longer a democracy.")

This explains why the Parliament reacted so furiously after the European Commission released €10.2 billion in cohesion funds to Budapest that had been previously frozen over rule-of-law concerns. Lawmakers put the decision on blast, saying a judicial reform introduced by Orbán's government fell woefully short of the necessary conditions and that courts were still at risk of political interference. 

The fact the Commission unblocked the money one day before a crucial EU summit that Orbán had openly threatened to derail further fuelled accusations of backroom deals and quid-pro-quo machinations, which von der Leyen's executive denied.

Still, Parliament filed a lawsuit against the Commission in March 2024, a radical move that encapsulated the bloc's ever-lasting fight to uphold its fundamental values in the face of regressive forces.

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***

Honourable mentions: the hearings of Frontex chief Fabrice Leggeri and Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen, the rapturous speech of Cate Blanchett, the ban on Amazon lobbyists and the passing of the Media Freedom Act.

Dishonourable mentions: the use of Pegasus software to spy on lawmakers, the Irish MEP who showed up in his underwear and the Dutch MEP who wrote "Go, Putin!"

Chaotic mentions: the feisty vote on the Emissions Trading System, the unknown dog that barked in the hemicycle and the Slovak MEP who randomly released a dove.

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Objectives and Study Scope

This study has assimilated knowledge and insight from business and subject-matter experts, and from a broad spectrum of market initiatives. Building on this research, the objectives of this market research report is to provide actionable intelligence on opportunities alongside the market size of various segments, as well as fact-based information on key factors influencing the market- growth drivers, industry-specific challenges and other critical issues in terms of detailed analysis and impact.

The report in its entirety provides a comprehensive overview of the current global condition, as well as notable opportunities and challenges. The analysis reflects market size, latest trends, growth drivers, threats, opportunities, as well as key market segments. The study addresses market dynamics in several geographic segments along with market analysis for the current market environment and future scenario over the forecast period. The report also segments the market into various categories based on the product, end user, application, type, and region.
The report also studies various growth drivers and restraints impacting the  market, plus a comprehensive market and vendor landscape in addition to a SWOT analysis of the key players.  This analysis also examines the competitive landscape within each market. Market factors are assessed by examining barriers to entry and market opportunities. Strategies adopted by key players including recent developments, new product launches, merger and acquisitions, and other insightful updates are provided.

Research Process & Methodology

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We leverage extensive primary research, our contact database, knowledge of companies and industry relationships, patent and academic journal searches, and Institutes and University associate links to frame a strong visibility in the markets and technologies we cover.

We draw on available data sources and methods to profile developments. We use computerised data mining methods and analytical techniques, including cluster and regression modelling, to identify patterns from publicly available online information on enterprise web sites.
Historical, qualitative and quantitative information is obtained principally from confidential and proprietary sources, professional network, annual reports, investor relationship presentations, and expert interviews, about key factors, such as recent trends in industry performance and identify factors underlying those trends - drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges influencing the growth of the market, for both, the supply and demand sides.
In addition to our own desk research, various secondary sources, such as Hoovers, Dun & Bradstreet, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Statista, are referred to identify key players in the industry, supply chain and market size, percentage shares, splits, and breakdowns into segments and subsegments with respect to individual growth trends, prospects, and contribution to the total market.

Research Portfolio Sources:

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  • Oxford Economics: Global Industry Forecasts, Country Economic Forecasts, Industry Forecast Data, and Monthly Industry Briefings

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  • The Economist Intelligence Unit: Country Summaries, Industry Briefings, Industry Reports and Industry Statistics

Global Business Reviews, Research Papers, Commentary & Strategy Reports

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M&A and Risk Management | Regulation

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Forecast methodology

The future outlook “forecast” is based on a set of statistical methods such as regression analysis, industry specific drivers as well as analyst evaluations, as well as analysis of the trends that influence economic outcomes and business decision making.
The Global Economic Model is covering the political environment, the macroeconomic environment, market opportunities, policy towards free enterprise and competition, policy towards foreign investment, foreign trade and exchange controls, taxes, financing, the labour market and infrastructure. We aim update our market forecast to include the latest market developments and trends.

Forecasts, Data modelling and indicator normalisation

Review of independent forecasts for the main macroeconomic variables by the following organizations provide a holistic overview of the range of alternative opinions:

  • Cambridge Econometrics (CE)

  • The Centre for Economic and Business Research (CEBR)

  • Experian Economics (EE)

  • Oxford Economics (OE)

As a result, the reported forecasts derive from different forecasters and may not represent the view of any one forecaster over the whole of the forecast period. These projections provide an indication of what is, in our view most likely to happen, not what it will definitely happen.

Short- and medium-term forecasts are based on a “demand-side” forecasting framework, under the assumption that supply adjusts to meet demand either directly through changes in output or through the depletion of inventories.
Long-term projections rely on a supply-side framework, in which output is determined by the availability of labour and capital equipment and the growth in productivity.
Long-term growth prospects, are impacted by factors including the workforce capabilities, the openness of the economy to trade, the legal framework, fiscal policy, the degree of government regulation.

Direct contribution to GDP
The method for calculating the direct contribution of an industry to GDP, is to measure its ‘gross value added’ (GVA); that is, to calculate the difference between the industry’s total pre­tax revenue and its total bought­in costs (costs excluding wages and salaries).

Forecasts of GDP growth: GDP = CN+IN+GS+NEX

GDP growth estimates take into account:

  • Consumption, expressed as a function of income, wealth, prices and interest rates;

  • Investment as a function of the return on capital and changes in capacity utilization; Government spending as a function of intervention initiatives and state of the economy;

  • Net exports as a function of global economic conditions.

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Market Quantification
All relevant markets are quantified utilizing revenue figures for the forecast period. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) within each segment is used to measure growth and to extrapolate data when figures are not publicly available.

Revenues

Our market segments reflect major categories and subcategories of the global market, followed by an analysis of statistical data covering national spending and international trade relations and patterns. Market values reflect revenues paid by the final customer / end user to vendors and service providers either directly or through distribution channels, excluding VAT. Local currencies are converted to USD using the yearly average exchange rates of local currencies to the USD for the respective year as provided by the IMF World Economic Outlook Database.

Industry Life Cycle Market Phase

Market phase is determined using factors in the Industry Life Cycle model. The adapted market phase definitions are as follows:

  • Nascent: New market need not yet determined; growth begins increasing toward end of cycle

  • Growth: Growth trajectory picks up; high growth rates

  • Mature: Typically fewer firms than growth phase, as dominant solutions continue to capture the majority of market share and market consolidation occurs, displaying lower growth rates that are typically on par with the general economy

  • Decline: Further market consolidation, rapidly declining growth rates

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The Global Economic Model
The Global Economic Model brings together macroeconomic and sectoral forecasts for quantifying the key relationships.

The model is a hybrid statistical model that uses macroeconomic variables and inter-industry linkages to forecast sectoral output. The model is used to forecast not just output, but prices, wages, employment and investment. The principal variables driving the industry model are the components of final demand, which directly or indirectly determine the demand facing each industry. However, other macroeconomic assumptions — in particular exchange rates, as well as world commodity prices — also enter into the equation, as well as other industry specific factors that have been or are expected to impact.

  • Vector Auto Regression (VAR) statistical models capturing the linear interdependencies among multiple time series, are best used for short-term forecasting, whereby shocks to demand will generate economic cycles that can be influenced by fiscal and monetary policy.

  • Dynamic-Stochastic Equilibrium (DSE) models replicate the behaviour of the economy by analyzing the interaction of economic variables, whereby output is determined by supply side factors, such as investment, demographics, labour participation and productivity.

  • Dynamic Econometric Error Correction (DEEC) modelling combines VAR and DSE models by estimating the speed at which a dependent variable returns to its equilibrium after a shock, as well as assessing the impact of a company, industry, new technology, regulation, or market change. DEEC modelling is best suited for forecasting.

Forecasts of GDP growth per capita based on these factors can then be combined with demographic projections to give forecasts for overall GDP growth.
Wherever possible, publicly available data from official sources are used for the latest available year. Qualitative indicators are normalised (on the basis of: Normalised x = (x - Min(x)) / (Max(x) - Min(x)) where Min(x) and Max(x) are, the lowest and highest values for any given indicator respectively) and then aggregated across categories to enable an overall comparison. The normalised value is then transformed into a positive number on a scale of 0 to 100. The weighting assigned to each indicator can be changed to reflect different assumptions about their relative importance.

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The principal explanatory variable in each industry’s output equation is the Total Demand variable, encompassing exogenous macroeconomic assumptions, consumer spending and investment, and intermediate demand for goods and services by sectors of the economy for use as inputs in the production of their own goods and services.

Elasticities
Elasticity measures the response of one economic variable to a change in another economic variable, whether the good or service is demanded as an input into a final product or whether it is the final product, and provides insight into the proportional impact of different economic actions and policy decisions.
Demand elasticities measure the change in the quantity demanded of a particular good or service as a result of changes to other economic variables, such as its own price, the price of competing or complementary goods and services, income levels, taxes.
Demand elasticities can be influenced by several factors. Each of these factors, along with the specific characteristics of the product, will interact to determine its overall responsiveness of demand to changes in prices and incomes.
The individual characteristics of a good or service will have an impact, but there are also a number of general factors that will typically affect the sensitivity of demand, such as the availability of substitutes, whereby the elasticity is typically higher the greater the number of available substitutes, as consumers can easily switch between different products.
The degree of necessity. Luxury products and habit forming ones, typically have a higher elasticity.
Proportion of the budget consumed by the item. Products that consume a large portion of the consumer’s budget tend to have greater elasticity.
Elasticities tend to be greater over the long run because consumers have more time to adjust their behaviour.
Finally, if the product or service is an input into a final product then the price elasticity will depend on the price elasticity of the final product, its cost share in the production costs, and the availability of substitutes for that good or service.

Prices
Prices are also forecast using an input-output framework. Input costs have two components; labour costs are driven by wages, while intermediate costs are computed as an input-output weighted aggregate of input sectors’ prices. Employment is a function of output and real sectoral wages, that are forecast as a function of whole economy growth in wages. Investment is forecast as a function of output and aggregate level business investment.

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