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The Evolution of IoT Security Market

The Evolution of IoT Security Market

Posted | Updated by Insights team:
Dr. Evangelo Damigos; PhD | Head of Digital Futures Research Desk
  • Connected Intelligence
  • Emerging Technologies


Publication | Update: Oct 2020
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By 2026, IoT connections will exceed 23 billion across all major IoT markets.
Market leaders and innovative companies offering IoT security services operating in different areas of the IoT value chain include Intel, Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services, Entrust Datacard, Rambus, Data I/O, and Globalsign.

A number of opportunities are emerging in various sectors thanks the adoption of the IoT:

  • Consumers: Enhances use of smart homes, which helps consumers use energy more efficiently
  • Retail: Helps retailers understand the peak times when customers visit their stores, which helps them enhance the productivity of their employees
  • Medical: Helps doctors monitor patients remotely through the use of wearable devices
  • Military: Can be used for proper resource allocation in times of war, in threat analysis, and for monitoring troops
  • Industrial: Is used for SCM, monitoring of all the industrial devices, production process optimization, and energy control
  • Automotive: Helps in managing traffic at peak times
  • Environment: Is being used to predict weather and track endangered species
  • Agriculture: Is being used in crop irrigation, monitoring of environmental changes, and in crop logistics


According to David Deans, Technology Media Telecom analyst, as it currently stands, the IoT is not a secure place for future deployments and both IoT players and digital security vendors are aware of that.
Down the line, almost all those connections will be faced with constantly evolving cyber threats, forcing implementers and IoT vendors to embrace new digital security options to protect managed fleets and connected assets.

According to Grand View Research, the global cyber security market size was valued at USD 156.5 billion in 2019 and is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.0% from 2020 to 2027.

The growing popularity of digitalization has compelled organizations to extensively rely on digitized information. Sharing of a vast amount of data in an external and internal environment as well as across the globe has made organizations to fall prey to cybercrime through different forms of attacks. A successful online attack can harm the enterprise as well as its reputation and brand. It can further result in a loss of competitive advantage and cause steep financial damage. In the wake of breaches and high-profile data theft, it becomes vital for an organization to determine future threats, signaling them to redesign their cybersafety stance. Thus, cyber safety is becoming a strategic imperative for an organization owing to an increased focus on preventing cybercrime activities, which can hamper the momentum of the business.

Cyber security and defense against online threats undertake greater significance in today’s digital changing landscape. It has become vital amid organization due to rapidly increasing frauds, cybercrimes, risk, threats, and vulnerabilities. Disruptive and emerging technologies in banking, retail, information technology, defense, and manufacturing sectors have offered new capabilities, facilitated automation, and offered ease of working in the recent past. However, these technologies have also emerged as a potent factor in the development of the global threat landscape of exploits, vulnerabilities, and malware. The emerging threat landscape is observed with an increased number of cybercrime activities in the global digital era.

Cyber Security Market Size & Share Report, 2020-2027

Technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT) and new business models extensively rely on global digitization for their growth. As the system becomes more complex, interconnected, and handles more information, the exposure to attack surface becomes much broader while exposing the gaps in the security system of the business. The primary platform for an increase in cybercrime activities is connectivity through the use of Big Data, cloud, social media, and mobile services. For instance, third-party data storage and cloud-based services have opened avenues for an online attack, which previously did not exist. Moreover, IoT products enabled with IP sensors are anticipated to introduce vulnerabilities to the user data, if they have not been adequately tested. Such services operate on the backbone of the internet and will become increasingly connected over a period of the next three years, allowing the need for a robust cyber safety system in the business environment.

The convergence of such events has driven the proliferation of endpoint and wireless safety services in an enterprise improving access to corporate information, both on-premise and outside the corporate network. A robust cybersafety layer in a business environment is aimed to detect, prevent, and react to the network attack or cyber-attack at the time of intrusion. A scalable and flexible strategy while taking advantage of the requisite solution prepares an organization to combat unforeseen challenges to their safety infrastructure.


Secure device authentication currently stands among the top-tier investment priorities for key IoT markets. According to the latest worldwide market study by ABI Research, hardware-focused IoT authentication services will reach $ 8.4 billion in revenues by 2026.

"There are several key technologies revolving around authentication security that currently transform the IoT device value chain. Chief elements among them revolve around IoT identity issuance, provisioning, authentication, encryption key lifecycle management, access management, and attestation,"
said Dimitrios Pavlakis, industry analyst at ABI Research.

These are the prime focus of IoT vendors who capitalize on the emerging threat horizon to better position their services and explore new IoT monetization models.

IoT authentication services must consider a plethora of variables -- sharing operational, connectivity and security characteristics. Just because cybersecurity investments need to enter deeper into the IoT deployment equation doesn't mean that operational variables will be left unaccounted.

Bandwidth capacity, connectivity requirements, operational specifications, and device heterogeneity, digital footprint and processing power, edge-cloud dependencies, telemetry and intelligence are all key factors that need to be addressed to obtain sustainable growth for the IoT going forward.

Many IoT security vendors are taking advantage of the recent IoT investment surge to increase their market footprint and deliver security-first authentication and management services for the IoT supported by a multitude of flexible pricing models.

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, several incidences and cases of Cybercrime were observed across industries. Cyber threat actors that follow Cybercrime as a Service have increasingly targeted every part of the demographics that searched information related to COVID-19 using malicious domain names registered with names as COVID-19 or coronavirus. According to the Palo Alto Networks, at the end of March 2020, around 40,261 suspicious registered domain names were identified. Additionally, in recent times the use of identical business email addresses also became the preferable choice for cyber attackers to conduct attacks. Furthermore, with the shift towards the remote working environment, cyber threat risks increased among organizations. The pressing concerns of cyber threat risk influence organizations to adopt solutions and configure malware protection, detection, and mitigation strategies.

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Objectives and Study Scope

This study has assimilated knowledge and insight from business and subject-matter experts, and from a broad spectrum of market initiatives. Building on this research, the objectives of this market research report is to provide actionable intelligence on opportunities alongside the market size of various segments, as well as fact-based information on key factors influencing the market- growth drivers, industry-specific challenges and other critical issues in terms of detailed analysis and impact.

The report in its entirety provides a comprehensive overview of the current global condition, as well as notable opportunities and challenges. The analysis reflects market size, latest trends, growth drivers, threats, opportunities, as well as key market segments. The study addresses market dynamics in several geographic segments along with market analysis for the current market environment and future scenario over the forecast period. The report also segments the market into various categories based on the product, end user, application, type, and region.
The report also studies various growth drivers and restraints impacting the  market, plus a comprehensive market and vendor landscape in addition to a SWOT analysis of the key players.  This analysis also examines the competitive landscape within each market. Market factors are assessed by examining barriers to entry and market opportunities. Strategies adopted by key players including recent developments, new product launches, merger and acquisitions, and other insightful updates are provided.

Research Process & Methodology

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We leverage extensive primary research, our contact database, knowledge of companies and industry relationships, patent and academic journal searches, and Institutes and University associate links to frame a strong visibility in the markets and technologies we cover.

We draw on available data sources and methods to profile developments. We use computerised data mining methods and analytical techniques, including cluster and regression modelling, to identify patterns from publicly available online information on enterprise web sites.
Historical, qualitative and quantitative information is obtained principally from confidential and proprietary sources, professional network, annual reports, investor relationship presentations, and expert interviews, about key factors, such as recent trends in industry performance and identify factors underlying those trends - drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges influencing the growth of the market, for both, the supply and demand sides.
In addition to our own desk research, various secondary sources, such as Hoovers, Dun & Bradstreet, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Statista, are referred to identify key players in the industry, supply chain and market size, percentage shares, splits, and breakdowns into segments and subsegments with respect to individual growth trends, prospects, and contribution to the total market.

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Global Business Reviews, Research Papers, Commentary & Strategy Reports

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M&A and Risk Management | Regulation

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Forecast methodology

The future outlook “forecast” is based on a set of statistical methods such as regression analysis, industry specific drivers as well as analyst evaluations, as well as analysis of the trends that influence economic outcomes and business decision making.
The Global Economic Model is covering the political environment, the macroeconomic environment, market opportunities, policy towards free enterprise and competition, policy towards foreign investment, foreign trade and exchange controls, taxes, financing, the labour market and infrastructure. We aim update our market forecast to include the latest market developments and trends.

Forecasts, Data modelling and indicator normalisation

Review of independent forecasts for the main macroeconomic variables by the following organizations provide a holistic overview of the range of alternative opinions:

  • Cambridge Econometrics (CE)

  • The Centre for Economic and Business Research (CEBR)

  • Experian Economics (EE)

  • Oxford Economics (OE)

As a result, the reported forecasts derive from different forecasters and may not represent the view of any one forecaster over the whole of the forecast period. These projections provide an indication of what is, in our view most likely to happen, not what it will definitely happen.

Short- and medium-term forecasts are based on a “demand-side” forecasting framework, under the assumption that supply adjusts to meet demand either directly through changes in output or through the depletion of inventories.
Long-term projections rely on a supply-side framework, in which output is determined by the availability of labour and capital equipment and the growth in productivity.
Long-term growth prospects, are impacted by factors including the workforce capabilities, the openness of the economy to trade, the legal framework, fiscal policy, the degree of government regulation.

Direct contribution to GDP
The method for calculating the direct contribution of an industry to GDP, is to measure its ‘gross value added’ (GVA); that is, to calculate the difference between the industry’s total pre­tax revenue and its total bought­in costs (costs excluding wages and salaries).

Forecasts of GDP growth: GDP = CN+IN+GS+NEX

GDP growth estimates take into account:

  • Consumption, expressed as a function of income, wealth, prices and interest rates;

  • Investment as a function of the return on capital and changes in capacity utilization; Government spending as a function of intervention initiatives and state of the economy;

  • Net exports as a function of global economic conditions.

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Market Quantification
All relevant markets are quantified utilizing revenue figures for the forecast period. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) within each segment is used to measure growth and to extrapolate data when figures are not publicly available.

Revenues

Our market segments reflect major categories and subcategories of the global market, followed by an analysis of statistical data covering national spending and international trade relations and patterns. Market values reflect revenues paid by the final customer / end user to vendors and service providers either directly or through distribution channels, excluding VAT. Local currencies are converted to USD using the yearly average exchange rates of local currencies to the USD for the respective year as provided by the IMF World Economic Outlook Database.

Industry Life Cycle Market Phase

Market phase is determined using factors in the Industry Life Cycle model. The adapted market phase definitions are as follows:

  • Nascent: New market need not yet determined; growth begins increasing toward end of cycle

  • Growth: Growth trajectory picks up; high growth rates

  • Mature: Typically fewer firms than growth phase, as dominant solutions continue to capture the majority of market share and market consolidation occurs, displaying lower growth rates that are typically on par with the general economy

  • Decline: Further market consolidation, rapidly declining growth rates

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The Global Economic Model
The Global Economic Model brings together macroeconomic and sectoral forecasts for quantifying the key relationships.

The model is a hybrid statistical model that uses macroeconomic variables and inter-industry linkages to forecast sectoral output. The model is used to forecast not just output, but prices, wages, employment and investment. The principal variables driving the industry model are the components of final demand, which directly or indirectly determine the demand facing each industry. However, other macroeconomic assumptions — in particular exchange rates, as well as world commodity prices — also enter into the equation, as well as other industry specific factors that have been or are expected to impact.

  • Vector Auto Regression (VAR) statistical models capturing the linear interdependencies among multiple time series, are best used for short-term forecasting, whereby shocks to demand will generate economic cycles that can be influenced by fiscal and monetary policy.

  • Dynamic-Stochastic Equilibrium (DSE) models replicate the behaviour of the economy by analyzing the interaction of economic variables, whereby output is determined by supply side factors, such as investment, demographics, labour participation and productivity.

  • Dynamic Econometric Error Correction (DEEC) modelling combines VAR and DSE models by estimating the speed at which a dependent variable returns to its equilibrium after a shock, as well as assessing the impact of a company, industry, new technology, regulation, or market change. DEEC modelling is best suited for forecasting.

Forecasts of GDP growth per capita based on these factors can then be combined with demographic projections to give forecasts for overall GDP growth.
Wherever possible, publicly available data from official sources are used for the latest available year. Qualitative indicators are normalised (on the basis of: Normalised x = (x - Min(x)) / (Max(x) - Min(x)) where Min(x) and Max(x) are, the lowest and highest values for any given indicator respectively) and then aggregated across categories to enable an overall comparison. The normalised value is then transformed into a positive number on a scale of 0 to 100. The weighting assigned to each indicator can be changed to reflect different assumptions about their relative importance.

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The principal explanatory variable in each industry’s output equation is the Total Demand variable, encompassing exogenous macroeconomic assumptions, consumer spending and investment, and intermediate demand for goods and services by sectors of the economy for use as inputs in the production of their own goods and services.

Elasticities
Elasticity measures the response of one economic variable to a change in another economic variable, whether the good or service is demanded as an input into a final product or whether it is the final product, and provides insight into the proportional impact of different economic actions and policy decisions.
Demand elasticities measure the change in the quantity demanded of a particular good or service as a result of changes to other economic variables, such as its own price, the price of competing or complementary goods and services, income levels, taxes.
Demand elasticities can be influenced by several factors. Each of these factors, along with the specific characteristics of the product, will interact to determine its overall responsiveness of demand to changes in prices and incomes.
The individual characteristics of a good or service will have an impact, but there are also a number of general factors that will typically affect the sensitivity of demand, such as the availability of substitutes, whereby the elasticity is typically higher the greater the number of available substitutes, as consumers can easily switch between different products.
The degree of necessity. Luxury products and habit forming ones, typically have a higher elasticity.
Proportion of the budget consumed by the item. Products that consume a large portion of the consumer’s budget tend to have greater elasticity.
Elasticities tend to be greater over the long run because consumers have more time to adjust their behaviour.
Finally, if the product or service is an input into a final product then the price elasticity will depend on the price elasticity of the final product, its cost share in the production costs, and the availability of substitutes for that good or service.

Prices
Prices are also forecast using an input-output framework. Input costs have two components; labour costs are driven by wages, while intermediate costs are computed as an input-output weighted aggregate of input sectors’ prices. Employment is a function of output and real sectoral wages, that are forecast as a function of whole economy growth in wages. Investment is forecast as a function of output and aggregate level business investment.

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