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The top 5 trends in human resource management for 2022

The top 5 trends in human resource management for 2022

Posted | Updated by Insights team:
Dr. Evangelo Damigos; PhD | Head of Digital Futures Research Desk
  • Competitive Differentiation


Publication | Update: Nov 2022
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In 2021, the global human resource management market size was estimated at USD 19.38 billion and is forecast to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.8 percent from 2022 to 2030. The increasing automation and digitization of HR activities to create flexible and efficient pathways is expected to boost the market demand during the forecast period. The development may also depend on the efforts made by companies to attract the appropriate applicant pool, manage resources effectively and retain human capital. These human resource management solutions have the potential to increase and improve workflows at HR, thus driving the market.[1]

 

1.    The Transition from Employee Well-being to Healthy Organization

In recent years, employee mental health and wellbeing have received the attention they deserve in the workplace. In the 2021 sentiment survey by HR, more than 68 percent of senior managers at HR ranked employee wellbeing and mental health as a key priority. Given the shock, frustration and uncertainty that followed the pandemic, the Healthy Organization takes a holistic and more comprehensive approach to wellbeing across the institution. This approach goes beyond the physical health and safety of the workforce and seeks to provide more training and empowerment opportunities. The Healthy Organization framework includes the following elements:

 

·      Physical Health

·      Mental Well-being

·      Financial Fitness

·      Social Health and Community Service

·      Safe Workplace

·      Healthy Culture

In the face of a deadly pandemic that has affected workers and the workplace, it stands to reason that a Healthy Organization would be a welcome trend to improve productivity and employee satisfaction, leading to higher employee retention.[1]

 

1.    Hybrid Work

 

Hybrid work will continue to exist in the future. According to the Accenture Future of Work Study 2021, which surveyed more than 9,000 workers from around the world, the majority of respondents want a hybrid work model, where they sometimes work remotely and other times locally. 83 percent of workers prefer a hybrid work style, and 63 percent of high-growth companies have already adopted a "productivity anywhere" model for their employees, according to a survey by Accenture.[2] Gartner surveyed 127 business leaders from HR, legal and compliance, finance and real estate in June 2020 to find out how they envision the workplace after Covid. Even after pandemics, 47 percent of employers will allow their employees to work remotely, the report found. Other companies (43%) will introduce flexible working hours and allow their employees to choose between remote and on-site work.[3]

Figure 2: Company leader intentions regarding flexible working after COVID-19. Gartner, Inc. (2020, July). Gartner survey reveals 82% of company leaders plan to allow employees to work remotely some of the time. Retrieved from: https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2020-07-14-gartner-survey-reveals-82-percent-of-company-leaders-plan-to-allow-employees-to-work-remotely-some-of-the-time

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The hybrid office is one of the hottest HR trends for 2022 and offers a flexible approach to workplace organization:

·      Partially remote means that part of the workforce works remotely while others operate on-site. This is a common situation for companies that         cannot move certain functions to the cloud due to security or hardware constraints.

·      Flexible remote hours or days that allow employees to manage their workload and spend some of their time remotely.

·      An office organization similar to coworking, where employees do not have a designated desk or workspace. Once they have decided to work on site, they reserve workspaces in advance.

 

Companies are rejecting long-term office leases and investing in spaces that serve as headquarters and prime locations. Hubspot, for example, a provider of sales and marketing tools, has offered its employees three options: @home, @office, and @flex. Starting in January 2022, employees have the option to work mostly from home, commute to the office three or more days a week, or have a mixed work schedule. This programme will reinforce Hubspot's location-independent strategy and promote employee wellness.[1]

 

1.    AI in Employee Management

Artificial intelligence will have a significant impact on talent retention and employee satisfaction in 2022.It will enable HR departments to optimize the overall employee experience and provide more customized training solutions and plans to their employees. The use of AI will help HR 's teams and experts make better decisions to improve the employee experience. In addition, in 2022, HR teams will continue to use AI chatbots to support people management. A new communication channel where employees can discuss HR-related issues, such as payroll, employee benefits and more. They can also complete repetitive tasks in seconds.

 

2.    Corporate Sustainability

More than ever, job seekers are looking for organizations with environmental initiatives. Therefore, companies need to evolve and become more sustainable, not only environmentally, but also socially and ethically. Adopting sustainable practices in the workplace will improve talent retention and brand image, as well as attract more job seekers. Adopting these important HR trends for 2022 will increase a company's attractiveness to customers. Most importantly, knowing that they work for a sustainable company will make its employees happy and motivated.[2]

 

3.    Introduce DEI into the Workplace Culture

The most important trend confronting HR is performative DEI work. Once a knee-jerk reaction to discrimination in the workplace, companies are increasingly paying attention to diversity, equality, inclusion and belonging. DEI is the common thread that runs through companies as they seek to retain current and potential employees for the long term. With companies losing billions in discrimination lawsuits, absenteeism, lost productivity and high turnover rates, they are now willing to spend millions to minimize racial bias and implement strategic plans to promote racial equality and inclusion in the workplace.[1]


[1] Grand View Research, Inc. (n.d.). Human Resource Management Market Size Report, 2030. Retrieved from: https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/human-resource-management-hrm-market

[2] Dixit, R. (n.d.). HR Trends for 2022: Future of Human Resource Management. SelectHub. Retrieved from: https://www.selecthub.com/hris/hr-trends/

[3] Accenture. (2021, April). The future of work: A hybrid work model. Retrieved from: https://www.accenture.com/us-en/insights/consulting/future-work

[4] Gartner, Inc. (2020, July). Gartner survey reveals 82% of company leaders plan to allow employees to work remotely some of the time. Retrieved from: https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2020-07-14-gartner-survey-reveals-82-percent-of-company-leaders-plan-to-allow-employees-to-work-remotely-some-of-the-time

[5] Chorna, I. (2022, August). Top 5 HR trends for 2022 and beyond. HRForecast. Retrieved from: https://hrforecast.com/top-5-hr-trends-for-2021-and-beyond/

[6] Factorialblog. (2022, May). Top 11 Emerging HR Trends in 2022 That You Should be Aware Of. Retrieved from: https://factorialhr.co.uk/blog/hr-trends-2022/

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Objectives and Study Scope

This study has assimilated knowledge and insight from business and subject-matter experts, and from a broad spectrum of market initiatives. Building on this research, the objectives of this market research report is to provide actionable intelligence on opportunities alongside the market size of various segments, as well as fact-based information on key factors influencing the market- growth drivers, industry-specific challenges and other critical issues in terms of detailed analysis and impact.

The report in its entirety provides a comprehensive overview of the current global condition, as well as notable opportunities and challenges. The analysis reflects market size, latest trends, growth drivers, threats, opportunities, as well as key market segments. The study addresses market dynamics in several geographic segments along with market analysis for the current market environment and future scenario over the forecast period. The report also segments the market into various categories based on the product, end user, application, type, and region.
The report also studies various growth drivers and restraints impacting the  market, plus a comprehensive market and vendor landscape in addition to a SWOT analysis of the key players.  This analysis also examines the competitive landscape within each market. Market factors are assessed by examining barriers to entry and market opportunities. Strategies adopted by key players including recent developments, new product launches, merger and acquisitions, and other insightful updates are provided.

Research Process & Methodology

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We leverage extensive primary research, our contact database, knowledge of companies and industry relationships, patent and academic journal searches, and Institutes and University associate links to frame a strong visibility in the markets and technologies we cover.

We draw on available data sources and methods to profile developments. We use computerised data mining methods and analytical techniques, including cluster and regression modelling, to identify patterns from publicly available online information on enterprise web sites.
Historical, qualitative and quantitative information is obtained principally from confidential and proprietary sources, professional network, annual reports, investor relationship presentations, and expert interviews, about key factors, such as recent trends in industry performance and identify factors underlying those trends - drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges influencing the growth of the market, for both, the supply and demand sides.
In addition to our own desk research, various secondary sources, such as Hoovers, Dun & Bradstreet, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Statista, are referred to identify key players in the industry, supply chain and market size, percentage shares, splits, and breakdowns into segments and subsegments with respect to individual growth trends, prospects, and contribution to the total market.

Research Portfolio Sources:

  • BBC Monitoring

  • BMI Research: Company Reports, Industry Reports, Special Reports, Industry Forecast Scenario

  • CIMB: Company Reports, Daily Market News, Economic Reports, Industry Reports, Strategy Reports, and Yearbooks

  • Dun & Bradstreet: Country Reports, Country Riskline Reports, Economic Indicators 5yr Forecast, and Industry Reports

  • EMIS: EMIS Insight and EMIS Dealwatch

  • Enerdata: Energy Data Set, Energy Market Report, Energy Prices, LNG Trade Data and World Refineries Data

  • Euromoney: China Law and Practice, Emerging Markets, International Tax Review, Latin Finance, Managing Intellectual Property, Petroleum Economist, Project Finance, and Euromoney Magazine

  • Euromonitor International: Industry Capsules, Local Company Profiles, Sector Capsules

  • Fitch Ratings: Criteria Reports, Outlook Report, Presale Report, Press Releases, Special Reports, Transition Default Study Report

  • FocusEconomics: Consensus Forecast Country Reports

  • Ken Research: Industry Reports, Regional Industry Reports and Global Industry Reports

  • MarketLine: Company Profiles and Industry Profiles

  • OECD: Economic Outlook, Economic Surveys, Energy Prices and Taxes, Main Economic Indicators, Main Science and Technology Indicators, National Accounts, Quarterly International Trade Statistics

  • Oxford Economics: Global Industry Forecasts, Country Economic Forecasts, Industry Forecast Data, and Monthly Industry Briefings

  • Progressive Digital Media: Industry Snapshots, News, Company Profiles, Energy Business Review

  • Project Syndicate: News Commentary

  • Technavio: Global Market Assessment Reports, Regional Market Assessment Reports, and Market Assessment Country Reports

  • The Economist Intelligence Unit: Country Summaries, Industry Briefings, Industry Reports and Industry Statistics

Global Business Reviews, Research Papers, Commentary & Strategy Reports

  • World Bank

  • World Trade Organization

  • The Financial Times

  • The Wall Street Journal

  • The Wall Street Transcript

  • Bloomberg

  • Standard & Poor’s Industry Surveys

  • Thomson Research

  • Thomson Street Events

  • Reuter 3000 Xtra

  • OneSource Business

  • Hoover’s

  • MGI

  • LSE

  • MIT

  • ERA

  • BBVA

  • IDC

  • IdExec

  • Moody’s

  • Factiva

  • Forrester Research

  • Computer Economics

  • Voice and Data

  • SIA / SSIR

  • Kiplinger Forecasts

  • Dialog PRO

  • LexisNexis

  • ISI Emerging Markets

  • McKinsey

  • Deloitte

  • Oliver Wyman

  • Faulkner Information Services

  • Accenture

  • Ipsos

  • Mintel

  • Statista

  • Bureau van Dijk’s Amadeus

  • EY

  • PwC

  • Berg Insight

  • ABI research

  • Pyramid Research

  • Gartner Group

  • Juniper Research

  • MarketsandMarkets

  • GSA

  • Frost and Sullivan Analysis

  • McKinsey Global Institute

  • European Mobile and Mobility Alliance

  • Open Europe

M&A and Risk Management | Regulation

  • Thomson Mergers & Acquisitions

  • MergerStat

  • Profound

  • DDAR

  • ISS Corporate Governance

  • BoardEx

  • Board Analyst

  • Securities Mosaic

  • Varonis

  • International Tax and Business Guides

  • CoreCompensation

  • CCH Research Network

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Forecast methodology

The future outlook “forecast” is based on a set of statistical methods such as regression analysis, industry specific drivers as well as analyst evaluations, as well as analysis of the trends that influence economic outcomes and business decision making.
The Global Economic Model is covering the political environment, the macroeconomic environment, market opportunities, policy towards free enterprise and competition, policy towards foreign investment, foreign trade and exchange controls, taxes, financing, the labour market and infrastructure. We aim update our market forecast to include the latest market developments and trends.

Forecasts, Data modelling and indicator normalisation

Review of independent forecasts for the main macroeconomic variables by the following organizations provide a holistic overview of the range of alternative opinions:

  • Cambridge Econometrics (CE)

  • The Centre for Economic and Business Research (CEBR)

  • Experian Economics (EE)

  • Oxford Economics (OE)

As a result, the reported forecasts derive from different forecasters and may not represent the view of any one forecaster over the whole of the forecast period. These projections provide an indication of what is, in our view most likely to happen, not what it will definitely happen.

Short- and medium-term forecasts are based on a “demand-side” forecasting framework, under the assumption that supply adjusts to meet demand either directly through changes in output or through the depletion of inventories.
Long-term projections rely on a supply-side framework, in which output is determined by the availability of labour and capital equipment and the growth in productivity.
Long-term growth prospects, are impacted by factors including the workforce capabilities, the openness of the economy to trade, the legal framework, fiscal policy, the degree of government regulation.

Direct contribution to GDP
The method for calculating the direct contribution of an industry to GDP, is to measure its ‘gross value added’ (GVA); that is, to calculate the difference between the industry’s total pre­tax revenue and its total bought­in costs (costs excluding wages and salaries).

Forecasts of GDP growth: GDP = CN+IN+GS+NEX

GDP growth estimates take into account:

  • Consumption, expressed as a function of income, wealth, prices and interest rates;

  • Investment as a function of the return on capital and changes in capacity utilization; Government spending as a function of intervention initiatives and state of the economy;

  • Net exports as a function of global economic conditions.

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Market Quantification
All relevant markets are quantified utilizing revenue figures for the forecast period. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) within each segment is used to measure growth and to extrapolate data when figures are not publicly available.

Revenues

Our market segments reflect major categories and subcategories of the global market, followed by an analysis of statistical data covering national spending and international trade relations and patterns. Market values reflect revenues paid by the final customer / end user to vendors and service providers either directly or through distribution channels, excluding VAT. Local currencies are converted to USD using the yearly average exchange rates of local currencies to the USD for the respective year as provided by the IMF World Economic Outlook Database.

Industry Life Cycle Market Phase

Market phase is determined using factors in the Industry Life Cycle model. The adapted market phase definitions are as follows:

  • Nascent: New market need not yet determined; growth begins increasing toward end of cycle

  • Growth: Growth trajectory picks up; high growth rates

  • Mature: Typically fewer firms than growth phase, as dominant solutions continue to capture the majority of market share and market consolidation occurs, displaying lower growth rates that are typically on par with the general economy

  • Decline: Further market consolidation, rapidly declining growth rates

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The Global Economic Model
The Global Economic Model brings together macroeconomic and sectoral forecasts for quantifying the key relationships.

The model is a hybrid statistical model that uses macroeconomic variables and inter-industry linkages to forecast sectoral output. The model is used to forecast not just output, but prices, wages, employment and investment. The principal variables driving the industry model are the components of final demand, which directly or indirectly determine the demand facing each industry. However, other macroeconomic assumptions — in particular exchange rates, as well as world commodity prices — also enter into the equation, as well as other industry specific factors that have been or are expected to impact.

  • Vector Auto Regression (VAR) statistical models capturing the linear interdependencies among multiple time series, are best used for short-term forecasting, whereby shocks to demand will generate economic cycles that can be influenced by fiscal and monetary policy.

  • Dynamic-Stochastic Equilibrium (DSE) models replicate the behaviour of the economy by analyzing the interaction of economic variables, whereby output is determined by supply side factors, such as investment, demographics, labour participation and productivity.

  • Dynamic Econometric Error Correction (DEEC) modelling combines VAR and DSE models by estimating the speed at which a dependent variable returns to its equilibrium after a shock, as well as assessing the impact of a company, industry, new technology, regulation, or market change. DEEC modelling is best suited for forecasting.

Forecasts of GDP growth per capita based on these factors can then be combined with demographic projections to give forecasts for overall GDP growth.
Wherever possible, publicly available data from official sources are used for the latest available year. Qualitative indicators are normalised (on the basis of: Normalised x = (x - Min(x)) / (Max(x) - Min(x)) where Min(x) and Max(x) are, the lowest and highest values for any given indicator respectively) and then aggregated across categories to enable an overall comparison. The normalised value is then transformed into a positive number on a scale of 0 to 100. The weighting assigned to each indicator can be changed to reflect different assumptions about their relative importance.

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The principal explanatory variable in each industry’s output equation is the Total Demand variable, encompassing exogenous macroeconomic assumptions, consumer spending and investment, and intermediate demand for goods and services by sectors of the economy for use as inputs in the production of their own goods and services.

Elasticities
Elasticity measures the response of one economic variable to a change in another economic variable, whether the good or service is demanded as an input into a final product or whether it is the final product, and provides insight into the proportional impact of different economic actions and policy decisions.
Demand elasticities measure the change in the quantity demanded of a particular good or service as a result of changes to other economic variables, such as its own price, the price of competing or complementary goods and services, income levels, taxes.
Demand elasticities can be influenced by several factors. Each of these factors, along with the specific characteristics of the product, will interact to determine its overall responsiveness of demand to changes in prices and incomes.
The individual characteristics of a good or service will have an impact, but there are also a number of general factors that will typically affect the sensitivity of demand, such as the availability of substitutes, whereby the elasticity is typically higher the greater the number of available substitutes, as consumers can easily switch between different products.
The degree of necessity. Luxury products and habit forming ones, typically have a higher elasticity.
Proportion of the budget consumed by the item. Products that consume a large portion of the consumer’s budget tend to have greater elasticity.
Elasticities tend to be greater over the long run because consumers have more time to adjust their behaviour.
Finally, if the product or service is an input into a final product then the price elasticity will depend on the price elasticity of the final product, its cost share in the production costs, and the availability of substitutes for that good or service.

Prices
Prices are also forecast using an input-output framework. Input costs have two components; labour costs are driven by wages, while intermediate costs are computed as an input-output weighted aggregate of input sectors’ prices. Employment is a function of output and real sectoral wages, that are forecast as a function of whole economy growth in wages. Investment is forecast as a function of output and aggregate level business investment.

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